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Samsung Forecasts Record $80 Billion Quarterly Profit on AI Memory Demand

8 October, 2026   /   News   /  AI   /   Tags:  samsung, memory, won, trillion, earnings

Samsung Forecasts Record $80 Billion Quarterly Profit on AI Memory Demand

Samsung Electronics projects third-quarter operating profit of $80.2 billion, a more than sevenfold rise from the prior year, as demand for memory chips powering AI infrastructure pushes revenue to 195 trillion won

Samsung Sets New Record With Preliminary Q3 Earnings

Samsung Electronics disclosed preliminary results for the third quarter of 2026 that mark its fourth consecutive quarter of record earnings. The company forecasts operating profit of 107.4 trillion won, equivalent to $80.2 billion, up 783 percent from the same period last year. Revenue is expected to reach 195 trillion won, a 127 percent increase compared with the third quarter of 2025.

The operating margin is projected at 55.1 percent, the highest in the company’s history. This figure reflects the semiconductor division’s strong performance, particularly in high-bandwidth memory products used by artificial intelligence systems.

The guidance exceeds the previous quarter’s 89.5 trillion won in operating profit and slightly surpasses analyst forecasts. Full earnings details, including breakdowns by business unit, are scheduled for release later this month.

107.4 trillion won operating profit forecast for Q3 2026
Samsung Electronics

AI Memory Products Drive Earnings Growth

The surge stems primarily from elevated demand for memory chips essential to artificial intelligence computing. High-bandwidth memory, or HBM, stands out as a key contributor, with Samsung gaining market share. Its HBM position is expected to climb from around 20 percent to 34 percent this year.

Traditional DRAM and NAND flash offerings have also benefited from supply constraints that analysts say could persist into 2028. Memory prices have risen sharply, supporting higher margins across the industry.

Samsung’s Device Solutions division leads the earnings contribution. The company has expanded related investments and partnerships, including an agreement with French startup Mistral AI to deploy models across semiconductor operations.

Market Reactions Include Share Price Decline

Despite the record forecast, Samsung shares fell 0.7 percent following the announcement, extending recent losses that have pulled the stock below its June peak. The market did not view the result as a surprise, according to analysts.

Josh Gilbert, lead analyst for APAC at investment platform eToro, noted: “When expectations are so high for memory makers, the market doesn’t hand out points for effort.”

Investors are weighing whether current pricing power and margins can be sustained amid rising competition, including from Chinese producers, and a stronger Korean won that has pressured earnings estimates.

Longer-Term Outlook Points to Continued Growth

Full-year 2026 operating profit is projected to exceed 300 trillion won, with expectations reaching about 550 trillion won in 2027. Supply shortages are anticipated to constrain production through 2028, supporting price stability for key AI-related memory.

Multiyear supply agreements are improving visibility into demand. Samsung’s semiconductor performance is also aiding its broader technology supply chain.

MetricQ3 2026 ForecastQ3 2025 ActualChange
Operating Profit107.4 trillion won ($80.2 billion)12.17 trillion won+783%
Revenue195 trillion won85.9 trillion won (approx.)+127%
Operating Margin55.1%LowerHighest in history

Industry Context and Implications

The results underscore the scale of AI-related hardware demand reaching global technology markets. Samsung remains the world’s largest memory-chip maker, and its performance draws particular scrutiny from investors focused on the sector.

Other memory producers, including those benefiting from similar AI-driven trends, have also seen gains, contributing to broader market rebounds in the space.

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