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3 October, 2026 / News / AI / Tags: novogratz, mike, bitcoin, cycle, surprised

Mike Novogratz identifies $60,000 as the cycle low and $80,000 as critical support while forecasting a year-end close approaching six figures.
Mike Novogratz, chief executive of Galaxy Digital, outlined a constructive medium-term view for Bitcoin during a recent conversation on the All Things Markets podcast with Anthony Scaramucci. At the time of his remarks, Bitcoin traded near $84,000. Novogratz argued that the recent correction has likely found its floor and that the cryptocurrency is now positioned within an $80,000 to $100,000 range for the remainder of the year.
Novogratz identified the $60,000 area as the probable low for the current cycle. He stated that Bitcoin’s move toward this zone marked what he regards as the trough of the downturn. Maintaining a weekly close above $80,000 is, in his assessment, the immediate technical condition that matters most for short-term direction.
While he did not rule out a temporary retreat into the upper $70,000s—possibly as low as $78,000—Novogratz described such a move as likely brief if the broader support structure holds. In his view, the market has shifted into an $80,000–$100,000 corridor.
| Price Level | Significance |
|---|---|
| $60,000 | Identified as likely cycle low |
| $80,000 | Key weekly support threshold |
| $84,000 | Spot price during the interview |
| $100,000 | Projected year-end 2026 target |
Looking further ahead, Novogratz said he would not be surprised if Bitcoin finished 2026 close to $100,000 after testing higher levels during the year. He framed this outcome as consistent with the asset settling into its new trading range rather than requiring an immediate breakout.
Galaxy Digital, the firm Novogratz leads, specializes in digital-asset trading, asset management and related financial services. His comments come against a backdrop of reduced forced selling. Novogratz observed that many participants who needed to liquidate positions appear to have already done so, which could ease further downside pressure.
Novogratz also stressed Bitcoin’s unique standing relative to the wider cryptocurrency market. While the asset operates differently from other digital tokens, he noted that it continues to set the tone for overall market momentum.
With major forced sales largely complete and technical support levels now in focus, attention centers on whether Bitcoin can sustain weekly closes above $80,000 as it navigates the path toward the $100,000 zone by the close of 2026.









